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Crude price

Expert Delphi Crude Oil Forecasting

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Hello:
You are invited to participate in our survey Expert Delphi Crude Oil Price Forecasting. In this survey, approximately 100 experts in the field will be asked to complete a survey that asks questions about how the news impact to crude oil price. It will take approximately 15 minutes to complete the questionnaire.

Your participation in this study is completely voluntary. There are no foreseeable risks associated with this project. However, if you feel uncomfortable answering any questions, you can withdraw from the survey at any point. It is very important for us to learn your opinions.

Your survey responses will be strictly confidential and data from this research will be reported only in the aggregate. Your information will be coded and will remain confidential. If you have questions at any time about the survey or the procedures, you may contact Mr. Somboon Chuaykoblap at +66811742565 or by email at the email address [email protected] specified below.

We wish to gauge the influence of each news events to daily Brent crude oil price traded in New York market. You will be asked to rate the influence of each news by scoring
1. Relevancy : How relevancy of the news shown on the left hand side on Brent Crude oil price ?
2. Impact : What the relationship of impact the news shown on the left hand side on Brent Crude oil Price ? Negative, Neutral or Positive relationship ?
3. Timeness : How long the impact of that news to Brent crude oil prices ?

As you are regarded as one the best expert in this field, we would like to learn about your personal information and may need to contact you in person in order to confirm your scores and your value opinion. This step is vital for the exercise. Nevertheless, we shall contact you via email at first priority and shall keep you least interruptions.

Thank you very much for your time and support. Please start with the survey now by clicking on the Continue button below.

Email Address :

Educational Level

Vocational

Bachelor Degree

Master Degree

Higher than master degree

Position ( Select one that closest to you )

Briefly Describe Your Job Description

Business Sector

* Work Experiences

1-5 years

5-10 years

10-15 years

> 15 years

* How often do you forecast oil prices ?

What tools you are using for price forecasting

Own Judgement

Group Judgement

Multi Group Judgement

Expert Panel

Regression Model

Techinical Analysis ( RSI/MACD/Moving Average)

Other

The influence of news event to Brent crude oil price

We wish to gauge the influence of each news events to daily Brent crude oil price traded in New York market. You will be asked to rate the influence of each news by scoring
1. Relevancy : How relevancy of the news shown on the left hand side on Brent Crude oil price ?
2. Impact : What the relationship of impact the news shown on the left hand side on Brent Crude oil Price ? Negative, Neutral or Positive relationship ?
3. Timeness : How long the impact of that news to Brent crude oil prices ?

Relevancy

Impact

Timeness

Not relevant

Very relevant

Very Negative

Neutral

Very Positive

short (daily/weekly)

medium ( monthly)

long (quarterly/yearly)

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

Economic Indicator - US Housing Sale

Economic Indicator - US Consumer Confidence Index

Economic Indicator - US Personal Price Index

Economic Indicator - US Retail Sales

Economic Indicator - US Jobless Claim

Economic Indicator - US Employment Rate

Economic Indicator - US Non-Farm Payroll

Economic Indicator - US Manufacturing Index

Economic Indicator - US Non - manufacturing index

Economic Indicator - US Purchasing Manager Index

Economic Worry - World Economy

Economic Worry - US

Economic Worry - EU

Economic Worry - Japan

Economic Worry - China

Economic Worry - India

Economic Worry - Australia

Economic Worry - S.Korea

Interest Rate - US

Interest Rate - EU

Interest Rate - Japan

Interest Rate - China

Interest Rate - India

Interest Rate - Australia

Interest Rate - S.Korea

Equities Market - US

Equities Market - EU

Equities Market - Japan

Equities Market - China

Equities Market - India

Equities Market - Australia

Equities Market - S. Korea

Currency - US$

Currency - EURO

Currency - Japan Yen

Currency - China Yuan

Currency - India Rupee

Currency - Australia Dollar

Currency - S. Korea ( won )

Financial Crisis - US

Financial Crisis - EU overall

Financial Crisis - EU greek

Financial Crisis - EU Portugal

Financial Crisis - EU Italy

Financial Crisis - EU Spain

Financial Crisis - EU France

Financial Crisis - EU Germany

Financial Crisis - EU Turkey

Financial Crisis - Japan

Financial Crisis - China

Financial Crisis - India

Financial Crisis - Australia

Financial Crisis - S.Korea

Financial Support - US

Financial Support - EU

Financial Support - Japan

Financial Support - China

Financial Support - World Bank

Financial Support - OECD

Financial Support - IMF

Expert forecast - IEA

Expert forecast - DOE/EIA

Expert forecast - API

Expert forecast - World Bank

Expert forecast - OECD

Expert forecast - IMF

Expert forecst - Goldman Sachs

Expert forecast - Morgan Stanley

Expert Forecast - Moody

Expert Forecast - S&P

Expert Forecast - Fitch Rating

OIl Demand - US crude oil

OIl Demand - US Gasoline

OIl Demand - US Diesel

Oil Demand - US Heating Oil

Oil Demand - EU Crude oil

OIl Demand - EU Gasoline

OIl Demand - EU Diesel

OIl Demand - EU heating Oil

Oil Demand - China crude oil

Oil Demand - China gasoline

Oil Demand - China diesel

Oil Demand - China fuel oil

OIl Demand - Japan crude oi

Oil Demand - Japan gasoline

Oil Demand - Japan diesel

Oil Demand - Japan fuel oil

OIl Demand - India crude oil

Oil Demand - India gasoline

Oil Demand - India diesel

Oil Demand - India fuel oil

OIl Demand - Singapore crude oil

Oil Demand - Singapore gasoline

Oil Demand - Singapore diesel

Oil Demand - Singapore fuel oil

Oil Supply - OPEC quota

OIl Supply - OPEC reduction compliance

OIl Supply - Saudi

OIl Supply - Iran

OIl Supply -- Iraq

Oil Supply - Nigeria

OIl Supply - Algeria

OIl Supply - Libya

OIl Supply - Venezuela

OIl Supply - Russia

OIl Supply - Ukraine

Oil Infrastructure - US Crude Pipeine

Oil Infrastructure - Suez Canel

OIl Infrastructure - Panama Canel

OIl Infrastucture - Ukraine gas pipeline

Refineries production - US

Refineries production - EU

Refineries production - China

Refineries production - India

Refineries production - Taiwan

Refineries production - Korea

OIl inventory - DOE : US Crude Oil

OIl inventory - DOE : US Gasoline

OIl inventory - DOE : US Diesel

OIl inventory - DOE : US Heating Oil

OIl inventory - API : US Crude Oil

OIl inventory - API : US Gasoline

OIl inventory - API : US Diesel

OIl inventory - API : US Heating Oil

Oil Inventory - US Strategic Petroleum Reserve

OIl inventory - OECD : overall

OIl inventory - OECD : Europe

OIl inventory - OECD : Asia

Oil Inventory - OECD Strategic Petroleum Reserve

OIl inventory - China

Temperature - Abnormal Cold Weather

Temperature - Abnormal Warm Weather

Natural Disaster - Hurricanes

Natural Disaster - Earthquakes

Natural Disaster - Tsunami

Natural Disaster - Volcanoes

New regulations - Ban on deep water exploration

New regulations - Tax on oil companies

New regulations - CFTC future trading regulations

New regulations - Carbon Credit Trading

Political Tensions/Wars - US-Russia

Political Tensions/Wars - US-China

Political Tensions/Wars - Isarel

Political Tensions/Wars - Russia - China

Political Tensions/Wars - Russia - Ukraine

Political Tensions/Wars - North Africa

Political Tensions/Wars - Middle East Unrest

Political Tensions/Wars - Iran

Political Tensions/Wars - Iraq

Political Tensions/Wars - Afghanistan

Political Tensions/Wars - Libya

Political Tensions/Wars - Egypt

Political Tensions/Wars - India- Pakistan

Political Tensions/Wars - Japan - China

Political Tensions/Wars - China - Taiwan

Political Tensions/Wars - North Korea

UN Sanctions : Iran

UN Sanctions : North Korea

Election : US

Election : EU

Election : UK

Election : France

Election : German

Election : Italy

Election : China

Election : Japan

Speculators : Amount of opened interest

Speculators : Technical Indications

Comments/Suggestions:

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